John Stanley & John Black 8th July, 2024

Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

My article was written in the context of the rise of the Muslim vote in the UK election last week and the implications of this outcome for the Australian General election, scheduled for 2025.

Subscribers can find the AFR article here: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/the-muslim-vote-was-a-disaster-for-starmer-and-could-be-for-albanese-20240705-p5jrfm

I based part of the article on the huge swings which took place against the UK Labour Party in electorates with large Muslim populations and canvassed how this sort of campaign and result could be translated into Australian Federal electorates, virtually all of which are now held by Labor MPs.

I did some follow up interviews with 2GB, including one with John Stanley, which you can access here: 

The interview with John Stanley was one of a series of interviews we have done profiling of Australian elections. This time we canvassed the Financial Review article and rise of strategic voting and the additional impact this could have for ALP MPs in 2025 , as it did for Liberal MPs during the 2022 challenges from Teal candidates.

John Stanley & John Black 17th June, 2024

Political Opinion polls can be pretty unreliable at times, but lately they’ve all been moving in the same direction, which is down for the satisfaction for Anthony Albanese as PM, down for the ALP primary vote, down for the Two Party Preferred Labor vote and down for the job  the Albanese Govt is doing on some of it’s key portfolios, such as the Environment, the Economy and Immigration.

On Monday we had two polls telling a similar story: the Resolve Strategic in the Sydney Morning Herald and Freshwater Strategy in the Australian Financial Review and they show a continued slide for Labor in evidence since the Voice Referendum support began fading in mid-2023.

I canvas some of the underlying demographics to this trend with John Stanley on Monday and the link the podcast is here: ……