Category Archives: Federal Elections

The quest for unclaimed ground, table 2 shows 20 seats which changed hands in 2022 by new MP and Party, votes, SES & Income Quartiles

The Quest for Unclaimed Ground

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I have an election strategy piece in the Australian Financial Review special New Year’s Edition for 2024. For AFR subscribers, the link can be found here: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/odds-for-2024-point-to-another-close-labor-win-in-2025-20231212-p5eqv2 The thrust of the AFR article is that both leaders of the two major parties seem to be talking to the converted demographics which already dominate their own


Bruised Labour back to basics

Bruised Labor Back To Basics

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I had an opinion piece in the Financial Review today on the demographics driving the Voice Yes and No votes. The online edition has a lot of the charts which you might find interesting. Here’s the link to my online op ed (behind the AFR paywall): 🔗 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/demographics-explain-how-we-voted-on-saturday-20231012-p5ebuu Our chief Mapper and head of Health Geographics


Esri online map on the Aspirational Left by current federal seats from March 3, 2023

Rise of the Aspirational Left voters reshaping Australia

Category:ABC,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

Here’s a snip of an ADS/ESRI online map showing dark red shading for the three federal seats of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan. All three seats were won by the Greens from the Liberals or from Labor in 2022, despite big Two Party Preferred (2PP) swings and votes to the ALP. https://arcg.is/0G4iL1 These seats are coloured


Tax cut targets voted Labour into power by John Black

Tax cut targets voted Labor into power

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I got a great run in the Australian Financial Review on Wednesday this week on the need for a fair dinkum progressive economic reform package from the new Government, to pay for rising costs in Aged Care, Health, Defence and the NDIS, something that all income groups in Australia could support. For those with an


What if the PM ended the climate wars for good?

What if the PM ended the climate wars for good?

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

If Labor’s 2030 carbon emissions target is blocked by the Greens in the Senate, most Canberra Observers would expect Anthony Albanese to crab walk away. But what could happen in a double dissolution if he called their bluff, to end the Climate Wars started by the Greens in 2009? 🔗  Read More… 📷AFR


2022 Federal Election Swing Map by Australian Development Strategies ADS.

2022 Federal Election Swing Map

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections Tags : 

The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive ADS 2022 Election Map. The five big players in 2022 were the traditional majors: the ALP and the Coalition, but also the minor parties, like the Greens, the Teals and the Others (including One Nation and the UAP). The


2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

Category:Australia Votes,Federal Elections Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the Federal election on May 21, check out the 🔗Map below. The map shows  the percentage of top income quartile persons in 2022 Federal seats in darker shades of teal and is modelled by ADS from


Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies

Federal Election Profiles 2022

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections Tags : 

Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion  To Read click link 🔗 Financial Review, Monday, June 20, 2022, pages from 36 to 37 -1.pdf 2022 Federal Election Swing Map The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive


Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

Key Swing Indicator Map for 2022 Federal Election

Category:Australia Votes,Federal Elections Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats were more likely to show swings to the Opposition at the start of this election campaign, then the Esri map in this link isn’t a bad place to start.  Link 🔗  2022 FEDERAL ELECTION KEY INDICATORS (arcgis.com) EThe online Esri map uses the latest Australian Electoral Commission


The computer predicted voices 2cp votes for Melbourne

Political Voices: Past, Present and Future

Category:Demographics,Federal Elections Tags : 

Profiling of the Voices 2019 demographics by Australian Development Strategies shows that grassroots campaigns by Voices candidates against Liberals in 2022 – led by professional women – could be even more devastating for Labor MPs if turned against them in 2025. This means that the Federal election of 2022 is not so much a contest