Tag Archives: Australia Votes

Seats won by major political groups in 2022 by SES & income quartiles

The odds still point to another close Labor win in 2025.

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,State Elections Tags : 

My editor has okayed me posting the original story on spatial electoral strategy from the Australian Financial Review’s special New Year’s Edition and here it is. It looks as though 2024 will be a rerun of 2023 in many respects, albeit with signs of cresting and then stabilising for population growth, prices and interest rates.


The quest for unclaimed ground, table 2 shows 20 seats which changed hands in 2022 by new MP and Party, votes, SES & Income Quartiles

The Quest for Unclaimed Ground

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I have an election strategy piece in the Australian Financial Review special New Year’s Edition for 2024. For AFR subscribers, the link can be found here: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/odds-for-2024-point-to-another-close-labor-win-in-2025-20231212-p5eqv2 The thrust of the AFR article is that both leaders of the two major parties seem to be talking to the converted demographics which already dominate their own


Bruised Labour back to basics

Bruised Labor Back To Basics

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I had an opinion piece in the Financial Review today on the demographics driving the Voice Yes and No votes. The online edition has a lot of the charts which you might find interesting. Here’s the link to my online op ed (behind the AFR paywall): 🔗 https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/demographics-explain-how-we-voted-on-saturday-20231012-p5ebuu Our chief Mapper and head of Health Geographics


Aspirational Left Voters Rise Again in NSW State Election

Aspirational Left voters rise again in NSW State Election

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,John's Interviews & Media,State Elections Tags : 

Above is a snip of our ADS/Esri online map showing in shades of red the larger estimated Two Party Preferred swings to Labor in the March 25 NSW election at the close of counting on election night. 🔗 https://arcg.is/0rqGez My preliminary analysis of the March 25 NSW State election vote and swings appears in today’s


Read the full background stories about the Aspirational Left Families now reshaping Australia

New Face of Politics

Category:ABC,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

Read the full background stories about the Aspirational Left Families now reshaping Australia Three key decisions that adults in Australia are making about their own lives, and their families, revolve around choosing who to vote for in an election, staying healthy and giving their kids the best education they can. Sarah Ho, who moved with


Esri online map on the Aspirational Left by current federal seats from March 3, 2023

Rise of the Aspirational Left voters reshaping Australia

Category:ABC,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

Here’s a snip of an ADS/ESRI online map showing dark red shading for the three federal seats of Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan. All three seats were won by the Greens from the Liberals or from Labor in 2022, despite big Two Party Preferred (2PP) swings and votes to the ALP. https://arcg.is/0G4iL1 These seats are coloured


2022 Federal Election Swing Map by Australian Development Strategies ADS.

2022 Federal Election Swing Map

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections Tags : 

The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive ADS 2022 Election Map. The five big players in 2022 were the traditional majors: the ALP and the Coalition, but also the minor parties, like the Greens, the Teals and the Others (including One Nation and the UAP). The


2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

2022 Federal Election Top Income Quartile Map

Category:Australia Votes,Federal Elections Tags : 

If you want to know which federal seats are most likely to swing strongly to the Teal candidates at the Federal election on May 21, check out the 🔗Map below. The map shows  the percentage of top income quartile persons in 2022 Federal seats in darker shades of teal and is modelled by ADS from


Australia votes on Saturday 21, 2022 and commented by John Black, former Labor Senator and Chief Executive of Australian Development Strategies

Federal Election Profiles 2022

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections Tags : 

Monday 20th June, 2022 Party Machines Conking Out by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion  To Read click link 🔗 Financial Review, Monday, June 20, 2022, pages from 36 to 37 -1.pdf 2022 Federal Election Swing Map The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive