Category Archives: John’s Interviews & Media

LNP Indian Take Away by David Rowe

Why The Indian Vote Matters

Category:ABC,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

Immigration – This new generation of Indo-Pacific migrants tends to be aspirational and transactional and hence more right-wing in the choices they make concerning private education and private health insurance. It’s no wonder Australian politicians are starting to obsess about the Indian vote. The Indians are coming, alright. They’re settling in Labor electorates. And the growth


Trends in Demographics and how it will impact your school. Podccast on how demographics will shape your school outlining the current and future trends impacting enrolments, and population growth.

Trends In Demographics And The Impact On Your School

Category:Demographics,Other Articles & Interviews Tags : 

I did a little podcast recently with Brad Entwistle, founding partner of Imageseven, entitled ‘How Demographics Will Shape Your School’. The podcast outlines the current and future trends impacting enrolments, including slowing population growth, evolving migration patterns and family dynamics. I ran into Brad at the AHISA conference in Canberra earlier this year, and I


Initial 2025 ADS Election Report on Australian Federal Election by John Black of Australian Development Strategies.

Initial 2025 ADS Election Report

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

We’ve just finished some preliminary charts and an online map (see map link on the first page) on the 2025 results based on the early counts. We will update with the final primary and 2PP results in a week or so. It was a really interesting result, in terms of the preference allocations to the


ABC 7.30 Report with Laura Tingle & John Black of Australian Development Strategies.

ABC 7.30 Report – Laura Tingle & John Black

Category:ABC,Australia Votes,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I’ve been a bit busy lately analysing polling and election data to make any social media posts and I’d like to make amends by posting my comments I made on the ABC 7.30 Report with Laura Tingle on Thursday night. 🔗 https://iview.abc.net.au/video/NC2501H076S00 (The interview with Laura starts 14:10 on the timeline of the video) My


John Black was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about his current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17.

2GB’s John Stanley & John Black 30th Dec, 2024

Category:2GB,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s


Profile of Modelled Primary & 2PP votes by Incomes for Families- with kids.

Forthcoming Federal Elections Current State of Play

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I had a story in the New Year’s edition of the AFR on the current state of play across individual seats at the forthcoming Federal Election. Here’s the link to the story, behind the AFR paywall: 🔗 It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025  https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss. There’s a lot that can happen


John Black had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night out the possible range of outcomes for the political parties.

It’s Election Time Again!

Category:ABC,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics


I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this week, following my articles in the Australian Financial Review and my social media post on last weekend’s Queensland State election.  

John Stanley & John Black 28th October, 2024

Category:2GB,Demographics,John's Interviews & Media,State Elections Tags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this week, following my articles in the Australian Financial Review and my social media post on last weekend’s Queensland State election.   The interview with John was longer than usual and gave us a chance to deal a bit more in-depth with the political implications of the State election


Qld vote a pivotal time for Greens. Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens,  as it analyses the electoral fortunes of the Greens since the party rose from the ashes of the old Australian Democrats 20 years ago.

Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens

Category:AFR,Australia Votes,Federal Elections,State Elections Tags : 

I wrote a Queensland State election preview for the Australian Financial Review which appeared at the weekend and the link is here, albeit behind the AFR paywall.   https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/queensland-vote-a-pivotal-moment-for-greens-20241024-p5kkyl The story is headlined:  Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens, as it analyses the electoral fortunes of the Greens since the party rose from the ashes


Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s.

John Stanley & John Black 8th July, 2024

Category:2GB,AFR,Australia Votes,Demographics,Federal Elections,John's Interviews & Media Tags : 

Last weekend The Australian Financial Review published my short review of the role of religion and ethnicity in Australian politics since the 1960s. My article was written in the context of the rise of the Muslim vote in the UK election last week and the implications of this outcome for the Australian General election, scheduled